Ukraine Regains Territory Amid Russian Losses

Ukrainian forces have regained approximately 460 square kilometers (117.6 square miles) of territory from Russia in early 2026, primarily in the eastern regions of Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhia. This marks the first significant territorial recovery for Kyiv in nearly three years, driven by substantial Russian personnel losses, estimated by Ukraine at up to 35,000 per month.

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) confirmed more modest gains of 257 square kilometers (100 square miles) but noted the tactical and operational impact on Russia's planned Spring-Summer 2026 offensive.

These Ukrainian counterattacks have been particularly effective in Dnipropetrovsk, where Russian troop presence is now minimal, and in Zaporizhia, where nine towns have been recaptured since January. This development is attributed to Russia's inability to replenish front-line losses at the rate of attrition, with recruitment numbers reportedly declining due to financial constraints and a reluctance for full-scale mobilization.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is reportedly avoiding a full mobilization due to potential public backlash, instead resorting to measures such as pressuring university students into drone operator roles. While Ukraine's gains are considered tactical, they are disrupting Russian morale and strategic planning, according to analysts. However, some observers remain skeptical about the long-term significance of these advances, noting that Russia continues to push in key areas of Donetsk.