United Russia wins 49.4% in Duma exit poll

An exit poll released late Sunday showed United Russia taking 49.4% of the vote in State Duma elections, with the Communist Party at 14.2%, the LDPR at 10.7%, New People at 9.7% and A Just Russia at 6.6%, the data showed. Officials described the returns as consistent with continuity in parliamentary control.

Duma majority outlook

The exit-poll totals imply that a pro-government majority in the lower house is likely to persist, officials said, although final seat allocations depend on local vote tallies and the mixed electoral system. Parties that fell below the threshold will affect how list seats are distributed.

Observers said the figures reduce the likelihood of immediate policy disruptions that might unsettle foreign-asset markets. Market participants typically respond more strongly to surprise outcomes; the exit-poll spread signalled a broadly expected result and limited short-term market implications.

Final official results and certified seat counts are expected within 72 hours, officials said, after which the composition of the Duma will be confirmed and legislative dynamics clarified. Key uncertainties include regional vote tallies and the distribution of single-mandate seats, which will determine the governing coalition’s working majority.