TCMB releases 12‑month household expectations as FX traders watch

The central bank released its 12‑month household expectations survey on Sept. 23, 2026, officials said; the release is a data point FX traders watch for signs on inflation and growth.

TCMB 12‑month expectations

The central bank announced the publication on Sept. 23, 2026, officials said. The release covers households' expectations for the coming 12 months, and officials described it as part of routine monitoring used to inform the institution's assessment of inflation and economic momentum.

Traders said they will focus on any upward revision in 12‑month inflation expectations because such moves can widen the effective policy-rate gap with peer economies and put pressure on the lira. Market participants added that changes in income and borrowing expectations would affect demand-side dynamics and could shift investors' risk premia.

Markets will digest the survey over the next 24 hours through Sept. 24, 2026; traders said they will reassess lira positions if the figures point to persistent upside in inflation expectations.