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    Technology

    Nvidia sees data center capex hitting $3T-$4T by 2030

    Nvidia projects global data center capex could reach $3T-$4T annually by 2030, driven by AI demand, in an April 8, 2026 outlook.

    Published8 Apr 2026, 10:25:43
    Nvidia sees data center capex hitting $3T-$4T by 2030
    A360
    Key Takeaways✦ Atlas AI
    01

    Nvidia forecasts $4 trillion data center market by 2030.

    02

    Company aims for $1.44 trillion annual revenue.

    03

    Nvidia's valuation could exceed $21 trillion.

    Atlas AI

    Atlas AI

    Nvidia said global spending on data center infrastructure could rise sharply over the rest of the decade, projecting annual capital expenditures of $3 trillion to $4 trillion by 2030. The forecast was released on April 8, 2026, and is framed around rising demand for computing capacity tied to artificial intelligence workloads.

     

    The company, a major supplier of graphics processing units (GPUs), described the outlook as a step-change in the scale of the market for servers, networking, and related buildouts. Nvidia is currently valued at $4.2 trillion, and it said it expects to hold its market share as the overall pool of spending expands.

     

    Nvidia also pointed to its recent financial performance as a reference point for how it participates in data center investment cycles. The company reported $216 billion in revenue in the past year, which it characterized as roughly 36% of an estimated $600 billion in data center spending for 2025. Using that same 36% capture rate as an illustrative assumption, Nvidia’s annual revenue would be $1.44 trillion if the market reached $4 trillion.

     

    The company’s projection was accompanied by a valuation illustration that links revenue scale to potential equity value under specific assumptions. 6 trillion by 2030. 65 trillion.

     

    Separately, analysts cited in the material expect Nvidia’s growth to accelerate again in the near term. The projections referenced call for 79% growth in Q1 and 85% in Q2, which are presented as signals of continued demand for AI-focused computing power and the infrastructure that supports it.

     

    While the forecast sets out a wide range for 2030 spending, the path between today’s levels and that endpoint remains uncertain. The company’s revenue and valuation illustrations depend on maintaining a 36% share and on hypothetical profitability and valuation multiples, which are not presented as guarantees.

    The scale of the projected market also implies that investment decisions by cloud providers, enterprises, and governments will remain central to how quickly data center capital expenditures expand.

     

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